Impact Sectors.
Environmental and socioeconomic impact models will be calibrated and validated with the new improved seasonal forecasting data and decadal predictions, initially for the pilot case studies and then for the climate extreme hotspot regions in the Mediterranean. Αll impact models will use the same datasets with the same spatial resolution. There will be many experimental runs using seasonal and decadal output to detect the optimum combination between climate data and impact models.
Impacts in PREVENT are thoroughly examined in six representative case-studies with different climate characteristics and water resources management practices. Three case studies are “pilots” and the rest are “experimental” case studies including Mediterranean cities. The pilots are well-established cases where a variety of modelling approaches (e.g. hydrological and hydrogeological modelling, hydropower simulations, water balance models, extremal analysis, integrated modelling) have successfully been implemented in the framework of other EU and national research programs. In the pilots’ cases, models’ parameterization has already been implemented, the running, thus, of the models with the improved seasonal forecasts and decadal predictions is considered a straightforward process with limited induced biases by the modelling procedure. The experimental case studies are those selective cases indicated as climate extreme hot spots, with the pilots’ modelling methodological framework to be transferred in the experimental ones for the assessment of the impacts.
PREVENT impact sectors
TOURISM
AGRICULTURE
HUMAN HEALTH INSURANCE
WATER RESOURCES
FOREST FIRES - ECOSYSTEMS
